EV roundup: Report predicts big jump in EV sales; BMW/Nissan fast charging; Sony goes sulphurPOSTED BY Nigel Andretti ON 22 December 2015
IN a new report, ‘Electric Vehicle Market Forecasts’, Navigant research projects that under its base scenario, global sales of light duty electrified vehicles (vehicles that use electricity for traction, including hybrids, plug-in hybrids, and battery-electrics) will grow from 2.6 million vehicle sales in 2015 to more than 6.0 million in 2024.
Under a conservative scenario, Navigant forecasts more than 5.8 million electrified vehicles by 2024, while the aggressive scenario sees more than 6.4 million.
Navigant estimates that sales of plug-in vehicles (PEVs) accounted for roughly 19 percent of electrified vehicle sales in 2015; in 2024, Navigant expects light duty PEVs to capture between 47 percent and 51 percent of the electrified vehicle market.
“The growth of PEV market share will be aided in part by the number and variety of PEV offerings coming to the market over the next several years. It will also be due to the continued drive to reduce carbon emissions and improve vehicle fuel economy in the major developed vehicle markets,” the report said.
Although conventional light-duty hybrids are facing declining sales in North America and have failed to grow significantly in China, growing interest in Europe and consistent support in Japan will grow the market at a healthy CAGR of around 4.7 percent through 2024, according to Navigant.
For the report, Navigant evaluated announced automaker electrification strategies; concept vehicles; and regional mandates and regulations that incentivise vehicle electrification to assess what HEV and PEV availability will look like in each country throughout the forecast period on a vehicle-by-vehicle basis.
Subsequently, the company used data on electricity and oil prices; government incentives; charging infrastructure; vehicle costs; and other factors to determine the business case of an electrified vehicle (HEV, PHEV, or BEV) purchase against its conventional competitor in each forecast year.
Navigant observes that the market for electrified vehicles has changed significantly over the past five years, but expects that changes during the next 5 years will be even more impactful to the global automotive and energy industries.
In addition to positive factors driving PEV growth (government support through regulations and incentives, automaker product offerings, participation of the power sector), weaknesses to widespread adoption of EV technologies do exist, Navigant said. These include the dive in oil prices that began in mid-2014, as well as the phasing out of some local government purchase incentives.
BMW and Nissan are partnering to offer public DC Fast charging at 120 locations across 19 American states in an effort to support Nissan LEAF and BMW i3 customers and to promote increased adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) nationwide.
Each of these new locations will offer a dual 50 kW DC Fast-charging station with both CHAdeMO and CCS (Combo) connectors, serving owners of both Nissan LEAF and BMW i3 electric cars, as well as all EV drivers in the US whose vehicles are equipped with quick-charge ports. These 50 kW stations can charge EVs from Nissan and BMW up to 80 percent in about 20-30 minutes, as compared to the longer time required to recharge at a Level 2 (240V) charger, currently the most commonly available public charging station.
Drivers can easily locate the chargers with ConnectedDrive in the BMW i3—either using the in-vehicle Navigation or by using the BMW i Remote App—or via the Nissan EZ-Charge smartphone app. Additionally, these chargers are compatible with the Nissan EZ-Charge cards.
The fast chargers are available in California, Connecticut, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Indiana, Maryland, Minnesota, Missouri, New Mexico, Nevada, New York, North and South Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia and Wisconsin.
SONY is developing high-capacity Li-Sulphur and Mg-Sulphur batteries, with a targeted commercialisation date of 2020 according to a report in Nikkei Technology.
Sony is targeting a 40 percent increase in volumetric capacity to 1,000 Wh/l, according to the report, and will initially target the smartphone market. Other applications, including mobile devices and robots, will follow.
Sony introduced the world’s first commercial lithium-ion battery in 1991.